Scientists Predict Solar Cycle 24 to Peak in 2013

[ARRL]

At the annual Space Weather Workshop held in Boulder, Colorado last month, an international panel of experts led by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) predicted that Solar Cycle 24 will peak in May 2013 with 90 sunspots per day on average. If the prediction proves true, Solar Cycle 24 will be the weakest cycle since Solar Cycle 16 which peaked with 78 daily sunspots in 1928, and ninth weakest since the 1750s, when numbered cycles began.



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[seedkey]

Thanks for the info. I was wondering if would happen at all.

 

[scantheband]

At the annual Space Weather Workshop held in Boulder, Colorado last month, an international panel of experts led by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) predicted...

I'm not sure I'd put a lot of stock in this, considering weather forecasters seldom make accurate predictions for greater than 2 days in advance.

We'll see...

 

[Cajun Invader]

weather forecasters seldom make accurate predictions .

We'll see...

Do Meteorologist predict Solar Activity?

 

[scantheband]

Do Meteorologist predict Solar Activity?

Obviously not. However, the point is that scientific modeling is not capable of accurately predicting even relatively simple earthly phenomenon, let alone determining solar indices years in advance.

But thanks for asking. ??

 

[Cajun Invader]

Obviously not. However, the point is that scientific modeling is not capable of accurately predicting even relatively simple earthly phenomenon, let alone determining solar indices years in advance.

But thanks for asking. ??

Putting stock in Science is stupid, I agree.

 

[High Voltage Mobile NJ]

i thought the 1989 to 1996 was the most peak solar flares. people used to pin my meter to the corner in the mobile and i could not talk down the street with a 2 pill.

 

[2CO3026]

...scientific modeling is not capable of accurately predicting even relatively simple earthly phenomenon, let alone determining solar indices years in advance.

speculation = conjecture = hypothesis

"Science can only determine what is, but not what shall be..." --Albert Einstein

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[mackmobile43]

Why do meterorologist never speak about stars? how would they know if a solar flare were going to happen tomorrow if they can't predict the weather for Saturday? or 2 days before the day after tomorrow?

 

[Captain Kilowatt]

Weather forecasters are meteorologists. Meteorologists do not have anything to do with predicting space weather as it is called. Meteorologists (try to) predict land based weather.

 

[Cajun Invader]

Weather forecasters are meteorologists. Meteorologists do not have anything to do with predicting space weather as it is called. Meteorologists (try to) predict land based weather.

I didn't think meteorologist predicted solar fares but I had to ask seeing that the accuracy of predicting them was compared to a weather forecast.

 

[Captain Kilowatt]

You can't really predict if/when a solar flare will occur but they can predict the probability of one happening based on how active the surface of the sun is and to a certain extent how intense a flare may be if one did happen. Spaceweather.com is a great site to get the latest and greatest info about what the Sun is doing. I subscribe to the space weather mailing list.

SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids