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I have a 2m Gizmotchy antenna that allows me to change polarity with the  flip of a switch.  I've tested this a million times and the cross  polarity can make a huge difference.  However, my testing has also shown  that at times due to signals bouncing around, it makes less or more difference  than at other times.  For example, there are a few stations that I  cannot talk to directly from my QTH.  As a result, we routinely bounce  our signals off near-by hills.  My experience suggests that when you are relying on bouncing paths, the cross polarity  rules of thumb change the equation.  Sometimes the cross polarity is worse because of the bounced path; sometimes it is better.


I guess the lesson is YMMV.