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Swine Flu News Update
- Thread starter C2
- Start date
2 people by me have gotten it
Although..
I do not think it is any more dangerous then the typical flu
Although..
I do not think it is any more dangerous then the typical flu
Latest Update
It’s been 4 days since my last update to US Swine Flu numbers* and this is where we are today.
Previously, as of day 159, we had:
~13000 Cases, an increase of ~3000
27 Deaths, an increase of 10
As of day 162, we have:
17855 Cases, an increase of ~4855
45 Deaths, an increase of 18
See attached plots for a graphical representation.
The first reported case of Swine Flu in the US was 58 days ago.
The model projects this trend to:
40,000 Cases and 180 Deaths by 4th of July
1,000,000 Cases and 50,000 Deaths by the end of September
[size=-8]*Data reported from CDC[/size]
It’s been 4 days since my last update to US Swine Flu numbers* and this is where we are today.
Previously, as of day 159, we had:
~13000 Cases, an increase of ~3000
27 Deaths, an increase of 10
As of day 162, we have:
17855 Cases, an increase of ~4855
45 Deaths, an increase of 18
See attached plots for a graphical representation.
The first reported case of Swine Flu in the US was 58 days ago.
The model projects this trend to:
40,000 Cases and 180 Deaths by 4th of July
1,000,000 Cases and 50,000 Deaths by the end of September
[size=-8]*Data reported from CDC[/size]
Attachments
It's been a while since I've bothered to look at the Swine Flu epedemic, but recent news coveraged has tickled my curiosity.
I've found that the CDC has changed its reporting method. They no longer list the number of cases, but have moved to reporting the number of hospitalizations and deaths.
However, I have data from July 24th, which match the earlier methods:
As of day 205, we have:
43,771 Cases, an increase of ~25,916
302 Deaths, an increase of 257
See attached plots for a graphical representation.
The first reported case of Swine Flu in the US was 100 days ago from this report (July 24th).
The earlier model projected the following trend:
40,000 Cases and 180 Deaths by 4th of July.
Actual results by July 4th:
The case trend was off slightly as there were only 37,246 reported cases.
The death trend was underestimated slightly as there were 211 recorded deaths.
I've found that the CDC has changed its reporting method. They no longer list the number of cases, but have moved to reporting the number of hospitalizations and deaths.
However, I have data from July 24th, which match the earlier methods:
As of day 205, we have:
43,771 Cases, an increase of ~25,916
302 Deaths, an increase of 257
See attached plots for a graphical representation.
The first reported case of Swine Flu in the US was 100 days ago from this report (July 24th).
The earlier model projected the following trend:
40,000 Cases and 180 Deaths by 4th of July.
Actual results by July 4th:
The case trend was off slightly as there were only 37,246 reported cases.
The death trend was underestimated slightly as there were 211 recorded deaths.
Attachments
August 14th (day 260) report 477 deaths.
The last reported death rate (of day 205) was 302 deaths per 100 days, or ~3.02 dpd (deaths per day)
The following summarizes the death rate trend:
Day 145, 11 deaths, 0.28 dpd
Day 152, 17 deaths, 0.36 dpd
Day 159, 27 deaths, 0.50 dpd
Day 162, 45 deaths, 0.79 dpd
Day 205, 302 deaths, 3.02 dpd
Day 260, 477 deaths, 3.08 dpd
The last reported death rate (of day 205) was 302 deaths per 100 days, or ~3.02 dpd (deaths per day)
The following summarizes the death rate trend:
Day 145, 11 deaths, 0.28 dpd
Day 152, 17 deaths, 0.36 dpd
Day 159, 27 deaths, 0.50 dpd
Day 162, 45 deaths, 0.79 dpd
Day 205, 302 deaths, 3.02 dpd
Day 260, 477 deaths, 3.08 dpd
I know most people think about this flu as a joke, I hope they are right, and it doesn't develop into a more virulent strain....
I bet you the n1h1 virus does not kill nearly as many as aids does and everyone seems to be okay with that.
wake up and smell the conspiracy people.
there is no pandemic. this has been purposely blown way out of proportion.
why?
so the big pharmaceutical companies can sell their "vaccines" to everyone all over the world.
anyone ever wonder what is actually in those "vaccines"?
well, one ingredient in the H1N1 "vaccine" is retinal tissue from aborted fetuses. not to mention the animal DNA.
dont believe me? look it up.
it amazes me how some people will let themselves become guinea pigs just because the one administering the injection has a white coat on.
anyone reading this who has school aged children and is concerned about having to get their kids "vaccinated" in order for them to attend school this year; here is what you need to do when the school nurse tells you that your child needs an injection.
ask them to sign an affidavit stating that the injection will in no way harm your child.
they will back right down.
im not kidding.
LC
there is no pandemic. this has been purposely blown way out of proportion.
why?
so the big pharmaceutical companies can sell their "vaccines" to everyone all over the world.
anyone ever wonder what is actually in those "vaccines"?
well, one ingredient in the H1N1 "vaccine" is retinal tissue from aborted fetuses. not to mention the animal DNA.
dont believe me? look it up.
it amazes me how some people will let themselves become guinea pigs just because the one administering the injection has a white coat on.
anyone reading this who has school aged children and is concerned about having to get their kids "vaccinated" in order for them to attend school this year; here is what you need to do when the school nurse tells you that your child needs an injection.
ask them to sign an affidavit stating that the injection will in no way harm your child.
they will back right down.
im not kidding.
LC
NOBODY can guarantee that ANYTHING will be 100% safe. There is a chance that the next time you have a cavity filled you may die. People have in the past. Look it up. Does that mean you should never go to the dentist? This is far from being over. We will just have to wait until regular flu season is upon us to see how things will pan out. As for calling it a conspiracy just to sell pharmaceuticals, it must be hard being that paranoid although you do make it look easy.
paranoid? i like the term "aware".
yes, i do see the world a bit differently than many people, and that does influence my views on certain things.
i believe that there are people in high places that would rather there not be so many people here on earth.
can i prove it? no.
that is why i say "believe" instead of "know".
the point i was trying to make about the school policies as they relate to inoculations is that parents are not allowed to choose what they want and dont want injected into their kids if they want them to attend public school, and putting the responsibility back on the school will allow them to have that choice.
my nephew is autistic.
when he was a baby, his lights were on. he would look you in the eye and respond to you. my sister in law and her husband took him to the doctor to have his vaccinations and within a week, he was gone.
this is happening all over the country, and i think people need to wake up and stop trusting people just because they seem to be in a position of authority.
it is our job to protect our children, and no one else is going to do it for us.
we have to take the initiative and inform ourselves, and balance the risks against the gains.
LC
yes, i do see the world a bit differently than many people, and that does influence my views on certain things.
i believe that there are people in high places that would rather there not be so many people here on earth.
can i prove it? no.
that is why i say "believe" instead of "know".
the point i was trying to make about the school policies as they relate to inoculations is that parents are not allowed to choose what they want and dont want injected into their kids if they want them to attend public school, and putting the responsibility back on the school will allow them to have that choice.
my nephew is autistic.
when he was a baby, his lights were on. he would look you in the eye and respond to you. my sister in law and her husband took him to the doctor to have his vaccinations and within a week, he was gone.
this is happening all over the country, and i think people need to wake up and stop trusting people just because they seem to be in a position of authority.
it is our job to protect our children, and no one else is going to do it for us.
we have to take the initiative and inform ourselves, and balance the risks against the gains.
LC
I see where you are coming from but as I said NOTHING is without risk. We have to balance those risks.Saying that an innoculation is dangerous and should never be done is a bit extreme IMHO. What are the risks of an individual having a reaction to it,which is an individual thing and not a fault of the vaccine itself,versus that person contracting a disease if they don't? Pretty hard to say either way.There are just too many unknowns.